The Ubuntu Edge campaign is in trouble, and here’s why

Gigaom

The more I track how Canonical is handling the crowdfunding campaign for its Ubuntu Edge smartphone, the more I think it’s going to fail. I get this feeling partly from watching the growing disparity between funds raised and funds needed, and partly from new details that Canonical has recently released.

Let’s start with a graph of the project‘s progress thus far, thoughtfully put together by Canonical’s Gustavo Niemeyer (if you can’t make out the numbers and text on the axes, though, be aware that the graph represents the last few days only, and doesn’t start from zero):

Ubuntu Edge success graph

The red line represents the trajectory needed to hit that ambitious $32 million figure, while the purple represents reality. At the time of writing, around $7.5 million had been raised – if things were going as they should be, 8.5 days into the 30-day campaign, the total so far should be…

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